{ "_meta": { "version": "2.0", "generated_at": "2026-05-16T15:45:01.797079+00:00", "based_on": "Codex 10-Day-Credit-Capacity-Report 2026-05-16 + Live VM measurements", "key_insight": "Theoretical Quota Envelope ≠ Effective Live Production. Always separate.", "hours_until_premium_cutoff_mo_14_berlin": 44.2 }, "table_a_theoretical_quota_envelope": [ { "provider": "cloudflare_workers_ai", "account": "cloudflare_ai_primary", "theoretical_rpd": 64800, "rpm_limit": 45, "tier": "FREE", "note": "Quota-Envelope, not real production" }, { "provider": "deepinfra", "account": "deepinfra_primary", "theoretical_rpd": 115200, "rpm_limit": 80, "tier": "FREE", "note": "Quota-Envelope, not real production" }, { "provider": "groq_free", "account": "groq_free_primary", "theoretical_rpd": 216000, "rpm_limit": 150, "tier": "FREE", "note": "Quota-Envelope, not real production" }, { "provider": "local_gemma", "account": "local_gemma_vm", "theoretical_rpd": 28800, "rpm_limit": 20, "tier": "FREE", "note": "Quota-Envelope, not real production" }, { "provider": "nvidia_nim", "account": "nvidia_nim_primary", "theoretical_rpd": 1728000, "rpm_limit": 1200, "tier": "FREE", "note": "Quota-Envelope, not real production" }, { "provider": "openrouter_free", "account": "openrouter_free_primary", "theoretical_rpd": 489600, "rpm_limit": 340, "tier": "FREE", "note": "Quota-Envelope, not real production" }, { "provider": "together_ai", "account": "together_ai_primary", "theoretical_rpd": 144000, "rpm_limit": 100, "tier": "FREE", "note": "Quota-Envelope, not real production" } ], "table_b_effective_live_production": { "results_last_5m": 0, "results_last_60m": 0, "results_last_24h": 1, "projected_throughput_per_hour": 0, "projected_throughput_per_day": 0, "throughput_band": "ultra-low (<1k/day)", "measurement_time": "2026-05-16T15:45:01.797079+00:00" }, "table_c_premium_window_burndown": [ { "lane": "ds-sonnet", "strong_until": "2026-05-18T14:00 Europe/Berlin", "premium_throughput_until_cutoff": "6.000-8.000 tasks/day (combined with ds-design)", "after_cutoff_rate": "unknown, expect <20% of pre-cutoff", "action": "Burn before Monday 14:00 Berlin" }, { "lane": "ds-design", "strong_until": "2026-05-18T14:00 Europe/Berlin", "premium_throughput_until_cutoff": "shared with ds-sonnet", "after_cutoff_rate": "unknown", "action": "Burn before Monday 14:00 Berlin" }, { "lane": "gemini-yondemfamily", "strong_until": "2026-08-02 (credit-buffer expiry)", "premium_throughput_until_cutoff": "150-250 tasks/day current rate", "after_cutoff_rate": "free-tier 1500 RPD floor", "action": "Continuous use, no rush" }, { "lane": "gemini-credit-api", "strong_until": "TBD after reactivation", "premium_throughput_until_cutoff": "500-1500 tasks/day estimated", "after_cutoff_rate": "depends on Google-cap", "action": "REACTIVATE for Day 4-10 premium" }, { "lane": "anthropic-max", "strong_until": "monthly renewal", "premium_throughput_until_cutoff": "subscription-bound", "after_cutoff_rate": "auto-renew", "action": "background use" } ], "table_d_task_type_classification": [ { "class": "S (small)", "examples": "LinkedIn-post, short-translation, listing-tag", "tokens_in": "100-500", "tokens_out": "100-500", "cost_tier": "any-free" }, { "class": "M (medium)", "examples": "PDF-section-expand, multi-lang-listing-description", "tokens_in": "500-2000", "tokens_out": "1000-3000", "cost_tier": "gemini/sonnet/local" }, { "class": "L (large)", "examples": "60-page Aviation-bundle-expansion, deep-review", "tokens_in": "2000-8000", "tokens_out": "3000-8000", "cost_tier": "sonnet/gemini-credit" }, { "class": "XL (very-large)", "examples": "Strategy-spec-implementation, code-generation", "tokens_in": "5000-15000", "tokens_out": "8000-20000", "cost_tier": "premium-only" } ], "table_e_10day_capacity_by_window": [ { "window": "Day 1-2 (Fr 16. - Sa 17.)", "premium_capacity": "12.000-16.000 tasks (ds-sonnet+ds-design)", "volume_capacity": "~90.000-100.000 tasks (NVIDIA+OpenRouter+local)", "marktreif_estimate": "1.500-3.000 product-ready outputs", "plan_items": [ "VM-OS Bundle Polish", "C4 LinkedIn-Series", "C1 EU-AI-Act-CaaS", "C2 Distribution" ] }, { "window": "Day 3 (So) bis Mo 14:00 Berlin", "premium_capacity": "3.000-4.000 tasks (Premium-Fenster läuft aus)", "volume_capacity": "~50.000 tasks", "marktreif_estimate": "800-1.500 product-ready outputs", "plan_items": [ "L3 Prescribe-API", "Multi-Lang DE+EN für Top-3 Bundles", "30-Airport-Pipeline" ] }, { "window": "Day 4-7 (Mo nach 14:00 - Do)", "premium_capacity": "700-1.500 tasks/day (massiv reduziert)", "volume_capacity": "~40.000-50.000 tasks/day", "marktreif_estimate": "300-500 product-ready outputs/day", "plan_items": [ "L2 Diagnose-Agent MVP", "gemini-credit Reaktivierung", "Liyakat-Review 8 Bundles" ] }, { "window": "Day 8-10 (Fr - So)", "premium_capacity": "depends on Google-credit-reactivation", "volume_capacity": "stable ~40k/day", "marktreif_estimate": "300-500/day", "plan_items": [ "V4 + LF5 + V18", "M2 + M3", "Trend-Loop + CSM-7-Sprachen" ] } ], "credit_pools_final": { "google_consolidated": { "label": "Google/Vertex Consolidated Block", "note": "DOES NOT include separate Vertex pool — same Google project context", "primary_credit_eur": 263.03, "primary_credit_owner": "yondemfamily / GEMINI_API_KEY_4", "primary_credit_expiry": "2026-08-02", "secondary_credit_eur": 257.0, "secondary_credit_owner": "tokenbroker1 / GEMINI_API_KEY_GOOGLE_CREDIT_20260503", "secondary_credit_state": "PAUSED (gemini-credit-api workers down, 8 enabled / 0 active)", "vertex_caveat": "VERTEX_SERVICE_ACCOUNT_JSON points to same Google project — DO NOT add as 3rd separate pool", "effective_planning_band_eur": "263 - 520 (lower bound = only yondemfamily active, upper = secondary reactivated)" }, "anthropic_max": { "label": "Anthropic Max Subscription", "monthly_renewal": true, "use": "ds-sonnet + ds-design premium-window until Mo 14:00" }, "openai_business_5seat": { "label": "OpenAI Business 5-seat Subscription", "monthly_renewal": true, "use": "GPT-5 as 2nd Liyakat voter" }, "openrouter_free_credit": { "label": "OpenRouter 4× $13 free credits", "hard_cap_usd": 5.0, "use": ":free models priority" }, "xai_grok": { "label": "xAI Yondem_Grok Team", "credit_eur_3mo": 30.0, "daily_cap_usd": 0.33, "use": "Grok-3-mini Liyakat voter" } }, "strategy_ideas": { "total_ideas": 31, "by_priority": { "10": 2, "9": 3, "8": 4, "7": 14, "6": 7, "5": 1 }, "top_10": [ { "id": "C4", "name": "Build-in-Public LinkedIn 7-Day-Series", "priority": 10, "revenue_path": "260 Leads → 26 Kunden → €3,874 MRR (laut C4-Estimate)", "status": "PENDING" }, { "id": "C2", "name": "Distribution-Asset Activation (26K+7K+2.4K)", "priority": 10, "revenue_path": "€500k+ Wert ungehoben, realistisch erste 100-300 Aktivierungen in 30 Tagen", "status": "PENDING" }, { "id": "L2", "name": "Diagnose-Agent / URL-Scanner", "priority": 9, "revenue_path": "Freemium → Upsell als Lead-Gen für 26K LinkedIn", "status": "PENDING" }, { "id": "L3", "name": "Prescribe-Engine API", "priority": 9, "revenue_path": "€499/Monat × 10 Kunden = €4,990 MRR Premium-Lane", "status": "PENDING" }, { "id": "C1", "name": "EU AI Act Compliance-as-a-Service", "priority": 9, "revenue_path": "€5-50 Mrd Markt, realistisch erste 50 Kunden in 6 Monaten = €15-75k MRR", "status": "PENDING" }, { "id": "M2", "name": "dream.py Memory-Konsolidierung", "priority": 8, "revenue_path": "Internal Quality-Multiplikator, indirekt Customer-Premium", "status": "PENDING" }, { "id": "V18", "name": "M2M Affiliate Platform (Agent A82)", "priority": 8, "revenue_path": "Network-Effect: skaliert mit IoT-Adoption, MRR durch Transaction-Cuts", "status": "PENDING" }, { "id": "V4", "name": "Token-Großhandel (Bulk-API-Credits)", "priority": 8, "revenue_path": "€10k Bulk-Buy × 25% Margin = €2.5k Profit pro Cycle, monatlich skalierbar", "status": "PENDING" }, { "id": "LF5", "name": "Connector: Shopify", "priority": 8, "revenue_path": "Shopify Customer-Base = 4M+ Shops, €299/M Connector-Fee", "status": "PENDING" }, { "id": "M3", "name": "ab_testing.py Multi-Armed Bandit", "priority": 7, "revenue_path": "Conversion-Rate-Multiplikator über alle PIPELINE-READY Sales-Assets", "status": "PENDING" } ] }, "multi_source_inputs": [ { "author": "codex-vm", "updated_at": "2026-05-16T12:15Z", "report_type": "capacity-review", "summary": "Review of CAPACITY_REPORT_2026-05-16.md against live VM state. Main conclusion: theoretical provider quotas were mixed with effective production throughput, and some credit pools and lane states were overstated.", "source_report": "/opt/yondem/handoff/opus-inbox/CAPACITY_REPORT_2026-05-16.md", "supporting_handoff": "/opt/yondem/handoff/opus-inbox/CODEX_10_DAY_CREDIT_CAPACITY_REPORT_2026-05-16.md", "findings": [ { "id": "google-credit-double-count", "severity": "high", "title": "Google and Vertex credits likely counted twice", "detail": "GEMINI_API_KEY_GOOGLE_CREDIT_20260503 and VERTEX_SERVICE_ACCOUNT_JSON both point to the same 257 EUR credit reality in current host state. The report's separate 257 EUR Gemini-credit plus 520 EUR Vertex line is not supported by live VM evidence." }, { "id": "quota-vs-throughput-mixup", "severity": "high", "title": "Theoretical RPD envelope was treated as real production capacity", "detail": "The report uses 2,304,000 RPD as if it were immediately usable production. Live system output was closer to 147 result files in 5 minutes and 2,288 in 60 minutes, which is roughly 55k/day effective throughput, not 2.3M/day." }, { "id": "inactive-lanes-overstated", "severity": "high", "title": "Several lanes were listed as available even though they are blocked or non-free in practice", "detail": "Together is trial-limited, DeepInfra is paid-only-not-activated, Groq-fast is currently failing due to TPM/request-size limits, and Cloudflare is in quota cooldown rather than carrying bulk work." }, { "id": "tokens-vs-tasks-unit-error", "severity": "high", "title": "Tokens and tasks were mixed in workload estimates", "detail": "The line '56 listings × 5k tokens = 280k Tasks' is a unit mismatch. This makes the 300k-500k task total unreliable until the plan is normalized to one unit system." }, { "id": "service-state-staleness", "severity": "medium", "title": "Some lane statuses were already stale at write time", "detail": "The report marked ds-v4@1 and local-glm@1 as down, but they were active when checked. It also marked Mistral and Cohere as active even though their units were inactive/dead." }, { "id": "gemini-credit-not-live-throughput", "severity": "medium", "title": "Gemini credit pools were converted to task counts without live burn proof", "detail": "The yondemfamily Gemini lane is proven alive at about 156 completions/24h. The paused gemini-credit-api lane may be valuable, but its 10-day contribution remains hypothetical until reactivated and measured." } ], "recommendations": [ { "priority": 1, "title": "Split future capacity reports into two tables", "detail": "Use 'Theoretical Quota Envelope' and 'Effective Live Production Envelope' as separate sections so Opus and the next agent do not confuse provider maxima with current throughput." }, { "priority": 2, "title": "Treat Google/Gemini/Vertex credits as one family unless console evidence proves otherwise", "detail": "Do not sum multiple Google-related entries until they are shown to be financially independent pools." }, { "priority": 3, "title": "Use live carrying lanes for the near-term strategy plan", "detail": "For the next 1-3 days, the real carriers are ds-sonnet, ds-design, gemini-yondemfamily, deepseek-v4-api, openrouter-multi, local-gemma, local-qwen, and nvidia-nim." }, { "priority": 4, "title": "Downgrade Groq, Cloudflare, Together, and DeepInfra in planning assumptions", "detail": "Keep them as canary or small supplemental lanes, not as primary throughput in the 10-day product plan." }, { "priority": 5, "title": "Reactivate gemini-credit-api only after a small live probe", "detail": "Start with a controlled reactivation and measure 1-hour real completions before assigning premium bundle work to that lane." } ], "__file": "codex-vm.json", "__mtime": "2026-05-16T12:16:00.584846+00:00" }, { "author": "mac1-codex-5-5", "ts": "2026-05-16T12:31:46Z", "type": "liyakat-review-bundles", "summary": "8 Bundles reviewed · Avg-Score: 56.5 · Bundles <70: Aviation, P2, P3, P4, P5, P6, P7", "findings": [ { "bundle": "P1", "content": 82, "marketing": 76, "legal": 74, "brand": 68, "price": 78, "action_items": [ "Replace AI-looking square glyph bullets and formatting artifacts with clean practitioner typography.", "Tighten Article 12 wording around retention and scope: keep the 6-month minimum but avoid implying one universal 5-year rule for all high-risk systems.", "Add a short legal disclaimer that the toolkit is implementation guidance, not qualified legal advice." ] }, { "bundle": "Aviation", "content": 58, "marketing": 52, "legal": 56, "brand": 70, "price": 50, "action_items": [ "Rework Annex III aviation mapping: do not classify all airport AI as high-risk; separate explicit AI Act categories from adjacent EASA, ICAO, CER, NIS2 and operational-risk overlays.", "Correct likely overclaims such as baggage screening tomography as biometric ID and blanket safety-of-life permit-suspension language unless backed by sourced regulation.", "Reduce or substantiate premium claims such as 60-page guide, 8 templates and CEO call with deeper sector-specific worksheets and source citations.", "Add legal-safety caveat and a decision tree for case-by-case qualification." ] }, { "bundle": "P2", "content": 54, "marketing": 42, "legal": 45, "brand": 66, "price": 40, "action_items": [ "Resolve the 500-asset claim: the visible asset index has about 50 populated asset rows, not 500. Either include all 500 with real metadata or change the offer.", "Remove or prove the 129,595-file and production-tested claims; add sampling methodology and acceptance criteria if retained.", "Mark GDPR, AI Act, Datenschutzerklaerung and AGB templates as drafting aids requiring qualified review.", "Replace placeholder Asset #011 style rows with named, inspectable assets before charging a premium price." ] }, { "bundle": "P3", "content": 52, "marketing": 38, "legal": 62, "brand": 64, "price": 42, "action_items": [ "Resolve the 1000-prompt claim: the visible prompt index has about 25 prompt rows, and the PDF repeats generic industry coverage language.", "Replace repeated table-of-contents text with actual prompt bodies, examples, expected outputs, and quality criteria for each vertical.", "Remove production-tested unless test logs, customer usage, or QA methodology are included.", "Add prompt-level risk notes for regulated sectors such as healthcare, finance, legal, defence and aviation." ] }, { "bundle": "P4", "content": 70, "marketing": 60, "legal": 65, "brand": 72, "price": 58, "action_items": [ "Add the missing PDF or clearly sell this as an XLSX-only compliance audit workbook; current pdf glob returns no file.", "Improve workbook depth with filled examples, scoring logic, evidence requirements and owner workflows beyond blank matrices.", "Review legal references, especially Article 12, Article 18, Article 22 GDPR and NIS2 mappings, with source notes and disclaimers.", "Price as a workbook unless paired with a practitioner guide or implementation walkthrough." ] }, { "bundle": "P5", "content": 42, "marketing": 30, "legal": 35, "brand": 35, "price": 30, "action_items": [ "Fix PDF text encoding immediately; Turkish characters render as replacement squares, which makes the product look unfinished.", "Substantiate or remove high-risk claims: UYAP integration, KVKK + TBB compliance, 80 percent automation, 206,678 lawyer count, 600M TL market and 12-15 percent growth.", "Add clear boundaries that generated petitions, legal workflows and compliance materials are drafts and require attorney verification.", "Replace pitch-style platform promises with concrete screenshots, workflows, templates and implementation status.", "Do not premium-price this until encoding, legal safety and proof-of-capability issues are fixed." ] }, { "bundle": "P6", "content": 58, "marketing": 45, "legal": 70, "brand": 62, "price": 48, "action_items": [ "Complete the missing council patterns: visible PDF lists Pattern #11 through Pattern #30 as placeholders.", "Update provider/model names to current Yondem standards and avoid unsupported names such as DeepSeek V4, Llama 4 70B, Claude 4.5 and generic GPT-5 if these are not actually available in production.", "Replace production-tested with evidence: test matrix, sample ballots, failure modes, latency/cost comparisons and audit logs.", "Add governance caveats for when council voting is advisory versus authoritative." ] }, { "bundle": "P7", "content": 64, "marketing": 55, "legal": 66, "brand": 68, "price": 58, "action_items": [ "Substantiate deploy-in-30-min and Pro Edition repo claims with install transcript, repo tree, screenshots or reproducible smoke tests.", "Clarify what is open-source versus private Pro companion; current positioning can confuse buyer expectations.", "Avoid blanket Article 12-compliant phrasing unless migration scripts, schema, retention config and audit-verification procedures are included.", "Deepen XLSX deployment checklist beyond about seven operational rows before using it to justify premium pricing." ] } ], "next": "mac1-codex-5-4", "__file": "mac1-codex-5-5.json", "__mtime": "2026-05-16T12:31:46.933761+00:00" }, { "author": "mac1-terminal-sonnet-4-6", "ts": "2026-05-16T12:35:19Z", "type": "output-collector-deployed", "summary": "Output-Sammler + Hash-Chain-Audit-Trail live · Cron */5min · 1 test result aggregated in first-run", "findings": [ "Script-Path: /opt/yondem/scripts/output_collector.py", "Dry-run: 1 result found (test-001.json, strat-A/bundle-alpha)", "Audit-chain init: /opt/yondem/state/output_audit_chain.jsonl · Genesis-Hash: f8f617a4fde38945", "Cron installed: */5 * * * * → /opt/yondem/state/output_collector.log", "Idempotenz: verifiziert (2. Run skippt bereits verarbeitete task_ids)", "Staging-Dir: /opt/yondem/p_builds/{strategy_id}/staging/{task_id}.md" ], "next": "mac2-terminal-sonnet-4-6", "__file": "mac1-terminal.json", "__mtime": "2026-05-16T12:35:20.294559+00:00" }, { "author": "vm-codex", "ts": "2026-05-16T12:28:34Z", "type": "gemini-credit-reactivation", "summary": "aktiv-mit-blocker: gemini-credit-api 8 worker units (11-18) laufen, aber die Lane produziert noch keine erste Completion; alle gestarteten Worker laufen aktuell in claim timed out.", "findings": [ "Worker instances 11-18 existieren live; die ursprünglich erwarteten 1-8 waren auf diesem Host nicht die geladenen Units.", "Worker @11: active, aber nur claim timed out im Log; first completion: none.", "Worker @12-18: active, gleicher Zustand wie @11; keine erste Completion sichtbar.", "Quota-Check: CREDIT-LOCKED, nicht free-confirmed; nutzt bestehenden Google-Credit-Pool (~257 EUR), also credit-backed statt zero-cost.", "Lane-health state file ist noch stale und zeigt weiterhin PAUSED, obwohl die systemd units jetzt active sind." ], "next": "mac2-desktop", "__file": "vm-codex.json", "__mtime": "2026-05-16T12:28:34.741903+00:00" } ], "action_items": [ { "priority": 1, "owner": "Erol", "action": "Confirm gemini-credit-api reactivation" }, { "priority": 1, "owner": "Erol-Root", "action": "systemctl restart yondem-ds-v4-worker@1.service" }, { "priority": 1, "owner": "Erol-Root", "action": "systemctl restart yondem-local-glm-worker@1.service" }, { "priority": 2, "owner": "Claude-Terminal", "action": "Build real-work-producer for top-10 strategy-ideas" }, { "priority": 2, "owner": "Claude-Browser", "action": "Manual file uploads for 7 P-products" }, { "priority": 3, "owner": "Codex", "action": "Continue OpenRouter pool cleanup" }, { "priority": 3, "owner": "Claude-Mac1", "action": "Multi-lang translation for top-3 bundles" } ] }